Imarike yezityalo ezinkulu ze-PV e-China yacutheka ngaphezu kwesithathu kwi-2018 ngenxa yohlengahlengiso lomgaqo-nkqubo waseTshayina, obangele i-wave yezixhobo ezingabizi kakhulu kwihlabathi jikelele, ukuqhuba amaxabiso e-benchmark ye-PV entsha (engalandeli) ukuya kwi-$ 60 / MWh isiqingatha sesibini 2018, phantsi 13% ukusuka kwikota yokuqala yonyaka.
Ixabiso lebenchmark ye-BNEF yehlabathi jikelele yokuveliswa komoya elunxwemeni ibiyi-$52/MWh, yehle nge-6% ukusuka kwisiqingatha sokuqala sohlalutyo luka-2018.Oku kwaphunyezwa xa kuthelekiswa nomva wee turbines ezitshiphu kunye nedola eyomeleleyo.E-Indiya nase-Texas, amandla omoya angasetyenziswanga elunxwemeni ngoku axabisa i-$27/MWh.
Namhlanje, amandla omoya agqithisa kumjikelo odityanisiweyo wegesi (CCGT) wezityalo ezibonelelwa ngerhasi ye-shale enexabiso eliphantsi njengomthombo wokuvelisa isambuku esitsha kuninzi lwe-United States.Ukuba amaxabiso erhasi yendalo adlula i-$3/MMBtu, uhlalutyo lwe-BNEF lubonisa ukuba iiCCGT ezintsha nezikhoyo ziya kuba semngciphekweni wokuthotywa ngokukhawuleza.entsha yelangakunye namandla omoya.Oku kuthetha ukuba ixesha eliphantsi lokuqhuba kunye nokuguquguquka okukhulu kubuchwepheshe obufana nezityalo zerhasi yendalo kunye neebhetri eziqhuba kakuhle kumazinga aphantsi okusetyenziswa (izinto zomthamo).
Inzala ephezulu e-China nase-US ibeke uxinzelelo oluphezulu kwiindleko zezimali ze-PV kunye nomoya kule minyaka mibini idlulileyo, kodwa zombini iindleko zincinci ngenxa yokuhla kweendleko zezixhobo.
E-Asia Pacific, ukungeniswa kwegesi yendalo ebiza kakhulu kuthetha ukuba izityalo ezitsha ezidityanisiweyo zegesi zihlala zikhuphisana ngaphantsi kwezityalo ezitsha zamalahle kwi-$ 59-$ 81 / MWh.Oku kuhlala kungumqobo omkhulu ekunciphiseni amandla ekhabhoni okwenziwa kombane kulo mmandla.
Okwangoku, iibhetri zexeshana elifutshane ngowona mthombo wempendulo ekhawulezayo entsha kunye nencopho yomthamo kulo lonke uqoqosho olukhulu ngaphandle kwe-US.E-US, irhasi yendalo ngexabiso eliphantsi ibonelela nge-advanteji yokunyuka kwezityalo zamandla ezibaswa ngegesi yendalo.Ngokutsho kwengxelo yakutshanje, iindleko zebhetri ziya kulahla enye i-66% ngo-2030 njengoko imboni yokuvelisa imoto yombane ikhula ngokukhawuleza.Oku kuthetha ukuthotywa kweendleko zokugcina ibhetri kushishino lwamandla ombane, ukucutha amaxabiso aphezulu ombane kunye nomthamo obhetyebhetye ukuya kumaqondo angazange aphunyezwe ngamaziko encopho asetyenziswa ngamathambo emveli.
Iibhetri ezidityaniswe kunye ne-PV okanye umoya zixhaphake kakhulu, kwaye uhlalutyo lwe-BNEF lubonisa ukuba izityalo ezintsha zelanga kunye nomoya kunye neenkqubo zokugcina ibhetri yeeyure ze-4 sele zikhuphisana ngeendleko ngaphandle kwenkxaso-mali xa kuthelekiswa nezityalo ezitsha zamalahle kunye negesi entsha. Ostreliya naseIndiya.
Ixesha lokuposa: Oct-22-2021